The presidential candidate field continues to narrow, with
Gov. Bill Richardson the latest to drop out, following his dismal showing in NH
this week. Sens. Dodd and Biden had dropped out the previous week, after
generating poor results in the Iowa Caucuses.
In his e-mail message to supporters announcing his
withdrawal from the race, Richardson had some nice words to say about nearly all
the other candidates in the Democratic primary, including Dennis Kucinich, the
target of considerable mocking in the media for his acknowledged sighting (while
staying at Shirley MacLaine's house) of a UFO many years back. But Richardson made no mention of Mike Gravel, the bizarre
former senator of Alaska.
Indeed, Gravel seems not to have attracted as much attention
as he deserves. He has generally come off much stranger sounding in debates and
other public appearances than Kucinich, entertainingly criticizing his fellow
Democrats, the Bush administration, and pretty much anything else that comes into
his head. Sort of like a court jester, he can say whatever he wants because he
has no chance of winning.
What of other potential drop-outs? A public affairs exec who
backs Barack Obama told me that while the Democratic race appears now to be a
solid two-person contest between Clinton and Obama, John Edwards, for example,
could well be true to his word that he sticks it out until the convention. of
course that could change were a clear front-runner to emerge, but the general
feeling among Democratic party supporters seems to be that his campaign themes
continue to add intellectual dimension to the race without bruising his rivals'
reputations, as more negative campaigns might.
On the Republican side, with the race far more splintered,
there appears to be no consensus about who might drop out next, or prevail for
that matter. One Republican public affairs exec speculated that Romney, not
least because of his fundraising prowess, might still be a good bet to win even
though he lagged in both the Iowa
and NH results.
Even Giuliani's claimed strategy of focusing on Florida and other Super Tuesday primary states could
possibly pan out, depending on how things go in Nevada and SC for some of his competitors,
noted the Obama supporter, who said the Republican race could potentially wind
up as an old-fashioned convention contest, with lots of horse trading between
delegates.
After decades of conventions being more show than substance,
with nominations in the bag before the start of the show, that would really make
for some fascinating politics.
Elsewhere on the trail...
Christmas may be over, but for those who have not seen it,
“Christmas with Mike Gravel” is timeless.
McCain polls well in SC, while Clinton and Obama scrabble for an edge with black voters.
More media focus than usual on Nevada primary.
Bush confidant Karen Hughes propounds on Clinton's “message problem.”
Romney campaign accentuates the positive.